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Feb 4, 2013
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you say you're cautious on some of the bulge names in part because of the eu risk is higher in those. how serious do you take a day like today on that front? >> well, our biggest concern really is the continued unstable nature of greece. i think spain and italy will be fine as long as greece doesn't create a chain reaction, which i think it will. and i'm still very concerned about what is going on there. but as you guys pointed out, you know, you came into early 10, early 11, early 12 and felt good, trends were good and the eu kind of put the kibosh on ceo confidence and capital markets activity. i'm concerned about that. >> you seem less worried. >> we're more worried about the u.s. economy. i think what we're seeing now in the marketplace makes sense. we had the megabanks lead the rally late last year. we recently have switched to the regional banks outperforming the megabanks and now we're getting that normal consolidation period which is to be expected. look at the ten-year treasury yield, that's what we say. if above ten for first quarter -- above 2% for first quarter, then earni
you say you're cautious on some of the bulge names in part because of the eu risk is higher in those. how serious do you take a day like today on that front? >> well, our biggest concern really is the continued unstable nature of greece. i think spain and italy will be fine as long as greece doesn't create a chain reaction, which i think it will. and i'm still very concerned about what is going on there. but as you guys pointed out, you know, you came into early 10, early 11, early 12 and...
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Feb 28, 2013
02/13
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it's not automatic because it still needs be effectively signed off by eu heads of state or eu finance ministers. as it's laid out, the european parliament in conjunction has decided this is what's going to happen. it is the far restricted cap on bonuses in the banking sector anywhere in the world. >> and london can't opt out, it sounds like. >> though. >> so if this moves forward -- i don't know what other levage, at a time when the uk is talking about renegotiating its rip with the european union. this seems like one area where it comes into focus. >> and it still has to be officially signed off. but at the moment, that's what's laid out. >> i just wonder if mayor bloomberg in new york is going, yeah, go ahead, guys. guys, if you want your bonus, you can come right over here. >> they're all looking at this thinking, this is good for pus. >> the other story we're following this morning is the sequester. fitch has said it could prompt negative ratings action. not because of the sequester itself necessarily, but because of the politics and the way it was handled. head to cnbc.com to rea
it's not automatic because it still needs be effectively signed off by eu heads of state or eu finance ministers. as it's laid out, the european parliament in conjunction has decided this is what's going to happen. it is the far restricted cap on bonuses in the banking sector anywhere in the world. >> and london can't opt out, it sounds like. >> though. >> so if this moves forward -- i don't know what other levage, at a time when the uk is talking about renegotiating its rip...
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Feb 5, 2013
02/13
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we have francois hollande today speaking to the eu parliament. he's going to lay out his vision for the eu against that economic back drop. >> isn't it amazing? we come into the week yesterday with everyone still talking. you have that great barons cover, you come in, just get the risk trade massively off. and the question for today and the rest of the week is frankly whether that's a bump in the road or the start of a down trend. >> you have the front cover, these are all good contra indicators. >> sorry, media friends. but this is not exactly the best of -- >> we always have timing. on today's show, we're in zurich where we hear from the ceo of ubs about the group's outlook. the swiss bank won to a loss in the fourth quarter. >> and is we'll head out to california for a look at the next offer. it's due to be released later today. we'll be live in madrid as the spanish prime minister's party pledges to fight corruption allegations that have prompted calls for his resition naz. >> and for its to earn its annual forecast on a weaker yen, we have i
we have francois hollande today speaking to the eu parliament. he's going to lay out his vision for the eu against that economic back drop. >> isn't it amazing? we come into the week yesterday with everyone still talking. you have that great barons cover, you come in, just get the risk trade massively off. and the question for today and the rest of the week is frankly whether that's a bump in the road or the start of a down trend. >> you have the front cover, these are all good...
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Feb 14, 2013
02/13
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the eu -- not eu. i keep saying eu. eurozone, sorry, my apologies, fourth quarter gdp number minus 0.6%, points to about an annual contraction of around 0.5% if my numbers are right. portuguese annual quality around 1.8% quarter on quarter. 1.9% in the third quarter. the year on year, 3.8%. again, that is worse than expected. >> well, because, again, to annualize these figures, and this is what i'm used to looking.1.8% on the quarter points to something like 6.7% annualized pace. it's a really deep decline. >> meanwhile, did we mention this? greece's economy, unemployment rate sitting 27% as of november. >>> so with those numbers, let's get out to jens nordic. we are just seeing euro/dollar to 1.3340. we hit a little weaker than this, 1.3 25, somewhere around there. where -- and dollar index is at a one-month high. do these gdp numbers matter for the future direction of the euro? because a lot of people are pointed to do pmi and the ifo signaling the worst is behind us. >> i think they actually do matter. i think we're
the eu -- not eu. i keep saying eu. eurozone, sorry, my apologies, fourth quarter gdp number minus 0.6%, points to about an annual contraction of around 0.5% if my numbers are right. portuguese annual quality around 1.8% quarter on quarter. 1.9% in the third quarter. the year on year, 3.8%. again, that is worse than expected. >> well, because, again, to annualize these figures, and this is what i'm used to looking.1.8% on the quarter points to something like 6.7% annualized pace. it's a...
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Feb 26, 2013
02/13
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reforms going, getting some -- doing some of the things necessary to live up to their commitment to the eu. does this throw a wrench into the works? >> i think we should be thinking about it. the somewhat untold story is that -- >> you heard of this guy before this? >> absolutely. >> was he funny. >> he's funny. it would be a little bit like -- >> jackie mason? >> no -- >> seinfeld. >> robin williams or somebody. he was big in the '80s this guy. he also has been a big part of the political satire, all the rest of it. very, very bright guy. but you know, it's almost an a listic party. it's july real just truly a protest vote. to my knowledge it's gotten over 25% of the vote, the latest thing i've seen. monti is the best of the best. i honestly believe that is one of the, you know, on democracies it's easier to give stuff away. >> two years ago he had just started and i asked why are these pictures of monti in a beach chair. and they all said send monti to the beach. that was two years ago. >> yeah, he's only been in there a group -- grillo is moving. five-star movement is only three years o
reforms going, getting some -- doing some of the things necessary to live up to their commitment to the eu. does this throw a wrench into the works? >> i think we should be thinking about it. the somewhat untold story is that -- >> you heard of this guy before this? >> absolutely. >> was he funny. >> he's funny. it would be a little bit like -- >> jackie mason? >> no -- >> seinfeld. >> robin williams or somebody. he was big in the '80s this...
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Feb 12, 2013
02/13
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the eu secured council called an emergency meeting. chery joins us now from seoul. can you tell us first of all what the general reaction has been there and a lot bit about the impact of the economy. we're watching, for example, the south korea and won take a hit this morning. >> well within not much of a reaction on the kospi. it did end down just about 0.26% here. but i wouldn't say it's a big tumble and it is korean won gained. i think by now investors have learned that north korea related tensions and developments, geopolitical issues like this have had impact on the korean market. so that explains the absence of such strong reaction on the stock market. but the latest that we have on this development is that we have china's reaction to north korea's nuclear tests, as well. china's foreign ministry statement goes that it is china's firm stance to realize nonnuclearization for the korean peninsula and prevent a nuclear proliferation and maintain peace and stability in northeast asia. remember, china is north korea's probably one and only ally and that it's been p
the eu secured council called an emergency meeting. chery joins us now from seoul. can you tell us first of all what the general reaction has been there and a lot bit about the impact of the economy. we're watching, for example, the south korea and won take a hit this morning. >> well within not much of a reaction on the kospi. it did end down just about 0.26% here. but i wouldn't say it's a big tumble and it is korean won gained. i think by now investors have learned that north korea...
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Feb 21, 2013
02/13
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this seems to be one more driven by growth worries coming out of the eu. take a quick look at the damage that's brought in terms of the currency board. the euro over here, there we go, dooits it's down about 0.8%. as for sterling that's also weaker, but just a little bit. the dollar did strengthen significantly after the fed yesterday. everyone is saying it's an overreaction to the fed minutes. we know that what they'ring god is conditions don't stay put. >>> back over here, citi's chairman is not seeking a break-up of the bank. a story in today's wall street journal says michael o'neill was among those encouraging investors not to break up the bank. he is backing abroad cost cutting plans, but exploring a break-up is no longer said to be among his top priorities. >>> and top equity firm sports ing represents tennis players and lots of people including super model giselle bundchen. back in the day owned roger federer. the decision to sell has been driven by the trustee who own tess state of the former ceo and chairman. peemp say it could fetch mother than
this seems to be one more driven by growth worries coming out of the eu. take a quick look at the damage that's brought in terms of the currency board. the euro over here, there we go, dooits it's down about 0.8%. as for sterling that's also weaker, but just a little bit. the dollar did strengthen significantly after the fed yesterday. everyone is saying it's an overreaction to the fed minutes. we know that what they'ring god is conditions don't stay put. >>> back over here, citi's...
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Feb 12, 2013
02/13
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/eu free trade agreement. >> i disagree with that. >> they have big deficiencies, and actually a bulwark on standard setting -- >> you disagree with the idea of trade -- >> no i definitely think trade boosts growth and want to see more net exports. what i have never seen is a connection between free trade agreements and an increase in our gdp or even our positive trade balance. more often than not -- >> when you look at nafta, haven't they finally concluded that there were more jobs created here because we were selling more? >> no, in fact, nafta is a -- nafta is a good example -- >> trade balance with mexico went negative. i'm saying after nafta our trade deficit with mexico went from positive to negative. >> nothing happens in a vacuum. >> it's a -- >> but -- >> current -- >> intellectually -- >> don't you know that free trade -- >> absolutely. i'm all for free trade. the nafta we were just talking about, it was 1200 pages. it actually doesn't take that long to write a free trade agreement. the nafta and many others -- >> that was shorter than the health care reform bill? >> you know,
/eu free trade agreement. >> i disagree with that. >> they have big deficiencies, and actually a bulwark on standard setting -- >> you disagree with the idea of trade -- >> no i definitely think trade boosts growth and want to see more net exports. what i have never seen is a connection between free trade agreements and an increase in our gdp or even our positive trade balance. more often than not -- >> when you look at nafta, haven't they finally concluded that...
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Feb 11, 2013
02/13
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we have the eu rising starts, the outstanding british film. but in the major categories, clearly people do look to the bafta the way same they would look to the gloelden gloep globes to see how things were going. "argo" is seen by everybody as a pack leader. there is a strange absence there on best director. whoever wins best director will be remembered as having won in the year that the most significant contender wasn't nominated. >> why isn't he nominated? >> who knows. who knows. i think we got it right, but who knows why he wasn't. one reason is because what they've done with the oscars now is increased the best film from five up to ten. now you have i think it's nine nominations this year. of course you're going to get a mismatch because there aren't the same number of films that there were directed. >> mark, good to see you. thanks so much, indeed. >> thanks for coming by. >> always a very good turn out, as well. >> i still think silver linings with a different name would have done so well. >>> anyway, the clearing up is occurring after
we have the eu rising starts, the outstanding british film. but in the major categories, clearly people do look to the bafta the way same they would look to the gloelden gloep globes to see how things were going. "argo" is seen by everybody as a pack leader. there is a strange absence there on best director. whoever wins best director will be remembered as having won in the year that the most significant contender wasn't nominated. >> why isn't he nominated? >> who knows....
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Feb 7, 2013
02/13
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. >> now we go into a full eu heads of state summit. it will be interesting to see if that theory about the euro gains further traction. >> let's roll out the red carpet and watch for the arrivals. thanks, simon. let's get to rick santelli in chicago, where we're still talking about your punch bowl this morning, rick. >>> i'll tell you what, it never ceases to amaze me where somebody like mr. rubin could say nobody could have nope, and yet the government singles out s&p. there's more to this story, or maybe there isn't. like i said, you can't fight city hall. one guy always fighting the battle keeping us informed about what may or may not be happening in europe is mark brand, southwest securities. mark, you were just listening to mr. draghi, and many of your comments, along with many traders on this floor, everyone was wondering when a big salvo to lower the value of the euro will be emanating from europe to keep up with the japanese. has that day arrived? >> no, the day hasn't arrived ye. i'll tell you what has arrived. the way the eu
. >> now we go into a full eu heads of state summit. it will be interesting to see if that theory about the euro gains further traction. >> let's roll out the red carpet and watch for the arrivals. thanks, simon. let's get to rick santelli in chicago, where we're still talking about your punch bowl this morning, rick. >>> i'll tell you what, it never ceases to amaze me where somebody like mr. rubin could say nobody could have nope, and yet the government singles out...